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Nets vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES)
15% win BKNwin CLE 85%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin12.7
Projected total229
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (34-21) host the Brooklyn Nets (15-38) on Thursday, February 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 84 – Cavaliers 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 85% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 18-11 at home and the Nets are 7-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Cavaliers and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Cavaliers W5, Nets L1).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers start with a clear edge. The model projects Cavaliers 121 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 12.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -6.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.3 / BKN -6.2 per game
+10.4
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+12.7

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
59%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
19%
Nets win by 10+
3%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNCLE
107.2
Points scored / game
120.3
114.4
Points allowed / game
115.3
42.9 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
36.7 %
3-point %
36.7 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
76.6 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
47.0
24.0
Assists / game
26.3
10.0
Steals / game
8.8
4.0
Blocks / game
7.5
17.5
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1714pts / game
Danny WolfF · #27assists
Danny WolfF · #26rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4517pts / game
James HardenG · #19assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNCLE
15-38Record34-21
107.2Points scored / game120.3
114.4Points allowed / game115.3
-6.2Adjusted margin / game+4.3
L1Current streakW5
3-7Last 10 games9-1
7-19 roadHome / road record18-11 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.