Rockets vs Heat prediction NBA · Saturday, February 28
At a glance
The Miami Heat (31-29) host the Houston Rockets (37-21) on Saturday, February 28 at 3:30 PM ET at Kaseya Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 105 – Heat 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Heat are 17-11 at home and the Rockets are 17-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Heat and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Heat L2, Rockets W3).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Heat 114 – 115 Rockets, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (118.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUMIA
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #732pts / gameKevin DurantF · #78assists
Amen ThompsonG · #111reboundsHeat
Bam AdebayoC · #1324pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #25assists
Kel'el WareC · #915reboundsRecent form
HOUMIA
HOU
Team comparison
| HOU | MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-21 | Record | 31-29 |
| 114.6 | Points scored / game | 118.4 |
| 109.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| +4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 17-14 road | Home / road record | 17-11 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 37-45 (+0.6) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Heat
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.