Rockets vs Magic prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26
At a glance
The Orlando Magic (31-26) host the Houston Rockets (36-21) on Thursday, February 26 at 7:30 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 113 – Magic 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 51% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 18-10 at home and the Rockets are 16-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Magic W2, Rockets W2).
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Magic 112 – 113 Rockets, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+0.3 vs +4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
HOUORL
Top performers
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #740pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #285assistsKevin DurantF · #78reboundsMagic
Desmond BaneG · #330pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #59assistsPaolo BancheroF · #58reboundsRecent form
HOUORL
ORL
Team comparison
| HOU | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-21 | Record | 31-26 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 113.4 |
| 109.3 | Points allowed / game | 113.0 |
| +4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.3 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 16-14 road | Home / road record | 18-10 home |
| 52-30 (+4.5) | Last season | 41-41 (-0.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Rockets
Injury report Magic
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.