Magic vs Rockets prediction NBA · Sunday, November 16
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (8-3) host the Orlando Magic (7-6) on Sunday, November 16 at 7:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Magic 113 – Rockets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 75% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 4-1 at home and the Magic are 3-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Magic (current streaks: Rockets W3, Magic W3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Rockets dominate this matchup. The model projects Rockets 117 – 109 Magic, a margin of about 8.5 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+7.0 vs +0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ORLHOU
Top performers
Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2229pts / gameFranz WagnerF · #224assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #346reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #735pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #288assists
Steven AdamsC · #1213reboundsRecent form
ORLHOU
ORL
Team comparison
| ORL | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 8-3 |
| 110.8 | Points scored / game | 119.6 |
| 109.8 | Points allowed / game | 111.5 |
| +0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.0 |
| W3 | Current streak | W3 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 3-3 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 41-41 (-0.1) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Magic
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.