Spurs vs Nets prediction NBA · Thursday, February 26
At a glance
The Brooklyn Nets (15-42) host the San Antonio Spurs (42-17) on Thursday, February 26 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 126 – Nets 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 8-20 at home and the Spurs are 21-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 10-0 for the Spurs (current streaks: Nets L5, Spurs W10).
The analysis Model
The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 109 – 115 Spurs, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs +4.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Spurs' offense (117.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SABKN
Top performers
Spurs
Julian ChampagnieF · #3026pts / game
Dylan HarperG · #27assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #18reboundsNets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1725pts / game
Egor DeminG · #89assistsMichael Porter Jr.F · #1714reboundsRecent form
SABKN
BKN
Team comparison
| SA | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-17 | Record | 15-42 |
| 117.5 | Points scored / game | 106.6 |
| 112.8 | Points allowed / game | 114.4 |
| +4.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.6 |
| W10 | Current streak | L5 |
| 10-0 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 21-11 road | Home / road record | 8-20 home |
| 34-48 (-2.8) | Last season | 26-56 (-7.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Spurs
Injury report Nets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.