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Nets vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, October 26

FinalFrost Bank Center · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN SW
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
0-3 · away
Final score
107-118
Projected: 108-118
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
3-0 · home
23% win BKNwin SA 77%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin9.3
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (2-0) host the Brooklyn Nets (0-2) on Sunday, October 26 at 2:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 107 – Spurs 118. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-0 for the Spurs and 0-2 for the Nets (current streaks: Spurs W2, Nets L2).

The analysis Model

The Spurs start with a clear edge. The model projects Spurs 118 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Spurs' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +0.2 / BKN -6.8 per game
+7.0
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+9.3

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Nets win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNSA
107.3
Points scored / game
115.2
115.3
Points allowed / game
114.9
42.9 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.6 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
45.0
24.0
Assists / game
28.2
10.0
Steals / game
9.8
4.0
Blocks / game
6.6
17.5
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2441pts / game
Ben SarafG · #775assists
Michael Porter Jr.F · #176rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #131pts / game
Dylan HarperG · #28assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #114rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BKNSA
0-2Record2-0
107.3Points scored / game115.2
115.3Points allowed / game114.9
-6.8Adjusted margin / game+0.2
L2Current streakW2
0-2Last 10 games2-0
0-1 roadHome / road record0-0 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.