Celtics vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 25
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (36-22) host the Boston Celtics (38-19) on Wednesday, February 25 at 10:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 84 – Nuggets 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 15-11 at home and the Celtics are 20-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nuggets and 9-1 for the Celtics (current streaks: Nuggets L1, Celtics W4).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nuggets 115 – 114 Celtics, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSDEN
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #723pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #114assistsJaylen BrownG · #711reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1530pts / gameNikola JokicC · #156assistsNikola JokicC · #1512reboundsRecent form
BOSDEN
DEN
Team comparison
| BOS | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-19 | Record | 36-22 |
| 115.2 | Points scored / game | 120.8 |
| 107.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.8 |
| W4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 20-10 road | Home / road record | 15-11 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.