Nuggets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 7
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (23-12) host the Denver Nuggets (24-12) on Wednesday, January 7 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 114 – Celtics 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 11-5 at home and the Nuggets are 14-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 4-6 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Celtics W4, Nuggets W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Nuggets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Celtics 119 – 115 Nuggets, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (123.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENBOS
Top performers
Nuggets
Peyton WatsonG · #830pts / game
Jamal MurrayG · #2717assistsJamal MurrayG · #278reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #74assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8820reboundsRecent form
DENBOS
DEN
Team comparison
| DEN | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-12 | Record | 23-12 |
| 123.5 | Points scored / game | 117.4 |
| 117.9 | Points allowed / game | 109.6 |
| +4.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | W4 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 14-7 road | Home / road record | 11-5 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.