Thunder vs Raptors prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (34-23) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (44-14) on Tuesday, February 24 at 7:30 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 116 – Raptors 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Raptors are 16-13 at home and the Thunder are 20-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 6-4 for the Thunder (current streaks: Raptors W2, Thunder W2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Thunder, but the Raptors have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Raptors 110 – 117 Thunder, a margin of about 7.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.9 vs +10.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCTOR
Top performers
Thunder
Cason WallaceG · #2227pts / gameCason WallaceG · #227assists
Isaiah HartensteinC · #559reboundsRaptors
RJ BarrettF · #921pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #47assistsRJ BarrettF · #98reboundsRecent form
OKCTOR
TOR
Team comparison
| OKC | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-14 | Record | 34-23 |
| 119.6 | Points scored / game | 113.3 |
| 107.7 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| +10.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 20-7 road | Home / road record | 16-13 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.