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Celtics vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

Finalcrypto.com Arena · NBC, Peacock
62% win BOSwin LAL 38%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin3.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (34-21) host the Boston Celtics (36-19) on Sunday, February 22 at 6:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 111 – Lakers 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 16-10 at home and the Celtics are 18-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Lakers W2, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 112 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +0.2 / BOS +6.3 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-3.7

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Celtics win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSLAL
115.5
Points scored / game
115.7
108.2
Points allowed / game
115.4
46.5 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
38.6 %
3-point %
39.2 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
76.0 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
38.0
27.8
Assists / game
24.0
9.0
Steals / game
10.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.8
15.5
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #118assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7725pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #235assists
Austin ReavesG · #157rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

BOS lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BOSLAL
36-19Record34-21
115.5Points scored / game115.7
108.2Points allowed / game115.4
+6.3Adjusted margin / game+0.2
W2Current streakW2
8-2Last 10 games6-4
18-10 roadHome / road record16-10 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.