Celtics vs Lakers prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22
At a glance
The Los Angeles Lakers (34-21) host the Boston Celtics (36-19) on Sunday, February 22 at 6:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 111 – Lakers 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Lakers are 16-10 at home and the Celtics are 18-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Lakers and 8-2 for the Celtics (current streaks: Lakers W2, Celtics W2).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Lakers 112 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSLAL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Payton PritchardG · #118assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8812rebounds
Lakers
Luka DoncicG · #7725pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #235assists
Austin ReavesG · #157reboundsRecent form
BOS
LALTeam comparison
| BOS | LAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-19 | Record | 34-21 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 108.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.4 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 18-10 road | Home / road record | 16-10 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 50-32 (+1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Lakers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
LAL