Lakers vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, December 5
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (13-9) host the Los Angeles Lakers (16-5) on Friday, December 5 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 105 – Celtics 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 7-4 at home and the Lakers are 9-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Celtics and 8-2 for the Lakers (current streaks: Celtics W3, Lakers W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Celtics 117 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics and the Lakers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
LALBOS
Top performers
Lakers
Austin ReavesG · #1536pts / gameAustin ReavesG · #158assists
Deandre AytonC · #810reboundsCeltics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #78assistsJaylen BrownG · #78reboundsRecent form
LALBOS
LAL
Team comparison
| LAL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-5 | Record | 13-9 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 116.5 |
| 114.6 | Points allowed / game | 109.5 |
| +2.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.0 |
| W1 | Current streak | W3 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 9-2 road | Home / road record | 7-4 home |
| 50-32 (+1.2) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Lakers
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.