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Mavericks vs Pacers prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBA League Pass
50% win DALwin IND 50%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin0.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (15-42) host the Dallas Mavericks (19-36) on Sunday, February 22 at 5:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 134 – Pacers 130. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 10-18 at home and the Mavericks are 5-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 0-10 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Pacers L2, Mavericks L10).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 116 – 115 Mavericks, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.0 / DAL -2.7 per game
-2.3
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
+0.0

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Mavericks win by 10+
21%

Stat comparison Current season

DALIND
113.9
Points scored / game
112.2
117.1
Points allowed / game
118.1
49.0 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
34.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
76.7 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
44.0
27.6
Assists / game
29.4
9.0
Steals / game
6.4
7.4
Blocks / game
4.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Mavericks
Khris MiddletonF · #2225pts / game
Khris MiddletonF · #227assists
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #311rebounds
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4330pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #211assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

DAL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

DALIND
19-36Record15-42
113.9Points scored / game112.2
117.1Points allowed / game118.1
-2.7Adjusted margin / game-5.0
L10Current streakL2
0-10Last 10 games4-6
5-20 roadHome / road record10-18 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.