Pacers vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 29
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (1-3) host the Indiana Pacers (0-3) on Wednesday, October 29 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 105 – Mavericks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 50% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Mavericks are 1-3 at home and the Pacers are 0-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-3 for the Mavericks and 0-3 for the Pacers (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Pacers L3).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 116 – 117 Pacers, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pacers' offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDDAL
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4327pts / game
Jarace WalkerF · #55assistsPascal SiakamF · #4313reboundsMavericks
Brandon WilliamsG · #1220pts / game
D'Angelo RussellG5assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #2511reboundsRecent form
INDDAL
IND
Team comparison
| IND | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 1-3 |
| 117.1 | Points scored / game | 112.6 |
| 117.6 | Points allowed / game | 116.0 |
| -0.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | L1 |
| 0-3 | Last 10 games | 1-3 |
| 0-2 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.