Cavaliers vs Thunder prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (43-14) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (36-21) on Sunday, February 22 at 1:00 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 113 – Thunder 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Thunder are 23-7 at home and the Cavaliers are 17-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Thunder and 9-1 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Thunder W1, Cavaliers W7).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 120 – 112 Cavaliers, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (+10.2 vs +4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEOKCTop performers
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4520pts / game
James HardenG · #19assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3113reboundsThunder
Isaiah JoeG · #1722pts / game
Cason WallaceG · #2210assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #715reboundsRecent form
CLEOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| CLE | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-21 | Record | 43-14 |
| 120.2 | Points scored / game | 119.6 |
| 114.8 | Points allowed / game | 107.6 |
| +4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.2 |
| W7 | Current streak | W1 |
| 9-1 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 17-10 road | Home / road record | 23-7 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.