Thunder vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, January 19
At a glance
The Cleveland Cavaliers (24-19) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (35-8) on Monday, January 19 at 2:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 136 – Cavaliers 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 14-10 at home and the Thunder are 15-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Cavaliers and 7-3 for the Thunder (current streaks: Cavaliers W2, Thunder L1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 114 – 119 Thunder, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+3.5 vs +11.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (108.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCCLE
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #230pts / game
Ajay MitchellG · #259assists
Chet HolmgrenC · #78reboundsCavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4519pts / game
Evan MobleyC · #45assists
Jaylon TysonG · #2010reboundsRecent form
OKCCLE
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-8 | Record | 24-19 |
| 120.9 | Points scored / game | 120.4 |
| 108.0 | Points allowed / game | 116.3 |
| +11.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 15-5 road | Home / road record | 14-10 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 64-18 (+9.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Cavaliers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.