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76ers vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Saturday, February 21

FinalSmoothie King Center · GCSEN, Pelicans.com, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
63% win PHIwin NO 37%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin4.1
Projected total231
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The New Orleans Pelicans (15-42) host the Philadelphia 76ers (30-25) on Saturday, February 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 111 – Pelicans 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pelicans are 9-21 at home and the 76ers are 15-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pelicans and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pelicans L2, 76ers L3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the 76ers, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 113 – 118 76ers, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pelicans played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.7 vs -0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pelicans
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NO -5.7 / PHI -0.9 per game
-4.8
Home-court advantagePelicans at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPelicans played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Pelicans
-4.1

Scenarios

Pelicans win by 10+
13%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
32%

Stat comparison Current season

PHINO
114.9
Points scored / game
113.8
115.9
Points allowed / game
120.5
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
32.6 %
3-point %
29.0 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
31.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
83.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.3
24.6
Assists / game
23.5
9.8
Steals / game
12.3
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
16.5

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #027pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #07assists
Andre DrummondC · #012rebounds
Pelicans
Jordan PooleG · #323pts / game
Zion WilliamsonF · #18assists
DeAndre JordanC · #615rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
NO
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHINO
30-25Record15-42
114.9Points scored / game113.8
115.9Points allowed / game120.5
-0.9Adjusted margin / game-5.7
L3Current streakL2
6-4Last 10 games4-6
15-10 roadHome / road record9-21 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season21-61 (-9.4)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

New Orleans Pelicans Injury report Pelicans

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.