Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Rockets vs Hornets prediction NBA · Thursday, February 19

FinalSpectrum Center · FanDuel SN SE, Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass
56% win HOUwin CHA 44%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin2.0
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (26-29) host the Houston Rockets (33-20) on Thursday, February 19 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 105 – Hornets 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 12-14 at home and the Rockets are 15-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Rockets (current streaks: Hornets W1, Rockets L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 112 – 114 Rockets, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.1 vs +4.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.7 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -0.1 / HOU +4.2 per game
-4.3
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-2.0

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
26%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUCHA
114.6
Points scored / game
113.8
109.7
Points allowed / game
113.9
51.7 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
40.4 %
3-point %
30.6 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
84.7 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
47.4
28.2
Assists / game
20.6
10.2
Steals / game
6.8
6.0
Blocks / game
5.2
15.8
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #735pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assists
Kevin DurantF · #78rebounds
Hornets
Grant WilliamsF · #220pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #247assists
Grant WilliamsF · #29rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

HOUCHA
33-20Record26-29
114.6Points scored / game113.8
109.7Points allowed / game113.9
+4.2Adjusted margin / game-0.1
L1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games9-1
15-13 roadHome / road record12-14 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.