Hornets vs Rockets prediction NBA · Thursday, February 5
At a glance
The Houston Rockets (31-18) host the Charlotte Hornets (23-28) on Thursday, February 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 109 – Rockets 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 67% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 17-5 at home and the Hornets are 12-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 8-2 for the Hornets (current streaks: Rockets L1, Hornets W7).
The analysis Model
The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 115 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 225 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Rockets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.5 vs -0.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CHAHOU
Top performers
Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #724pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #14assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1412reboundsRockets
Kevin DurantF · #731pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #17assists
Alperen SengunC · #289reboundsRecent form
CHAHOU
CHA
Team comparison
| CHA | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-28 | Record | 31-18 |
| 113.9 | Points scored / game | 115.3 |
| 114.2 | Points allowed / game | 110.0 |
| -0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.5 |
| W7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 12-15 road | Home / road record | 17-5 home |
| 19-63 (-9.1) | Last season | 52-30 (+4.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hornets
Injury report Rockets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.