Bucks vs Thunder prediction NBA · Thursday, February 12
At a glance
The Oklahoma City Thunder (42-13) host the Milwaukee Bucks (22-30) on Thursday, February 12 at 7:30 PM ET at Paycom Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 110 – Thunder 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 88% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Thunder are 22-6 at home and the Bucks are 10-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Thunder and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: Thunder W2, Bucks W1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Thunder 121 – 106 Bucks, a margin of about 15.0 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Thunder and the Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+10.5 vs -2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (120.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILOKC
Top performers
Bucks
Ousmane DiengF · #2119pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #77assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512reboundsThunder
Isaiah JoeG · #1717pts / game
Chet HolmgrenC · #74assistsChet HolmgrenC · #713reboundsRecent form
MILOKC
OKC
Team comparison
| MIL | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-30 | Record | 42-13 |
| 112.5 | Points scored / game | 120.2 |
| 115.1 | Points allowed / game | 107.9 |
| -2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +10.5 |
| W1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 10-18 road | Home / road record | 22-6 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 68-14 (+12.9) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Thunder
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.