Thunder vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (18-24) host the Oklahoma City Thunder (36-8) on Wednesday, January 21 at 9:30 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Thunder 122 – Bucks 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Thunder a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 9-10 at home and the Thunder are 16-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bucks and 7-3 for the Thunder (current streaks: Bucks W1, Thunder W1).
The analysis Model
The Thunder start with a clear edge. The model projects Bucks 109 – 120 Thunder, a margin of about 10.7 points in favor of the Thunder and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.7 vs +11.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Thunder's offense (121.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Thunder's defense allows clearly fewer points (107.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
OKCMIL
Top performers
Thunder
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #240pts / gameShai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · #211assists
Kenrich WilliamsG · #348reboundsBucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #719pts / game
Bobby PortisF · #959assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #714reboundsRecent form
OKCMIL
OKC
Team comparison
| OKC | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-8 | Record | 18-24 |
| 121.2 | Points scored / game | 113.1 |
| 107.9 | Points allowed / game | 115.0 |
| +11.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.7 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 16-5 road | Home / road record | 9-10 home |
| 68-14 (+12.9) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Thunder
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.