Heat vs Pelicans prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11
At a glance
The New Orleans Pelicans (15-40) host the Miami Heat (28-27) on Wednesday, February 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Smoothie King Center in NBA action. Final score: Heat 123 – Pelicans 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Heat a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pelicans are 9-19 at home and the Heat are 12-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Pelicans and 5-5 for the Heat (current streaks: Pelicans W2, Heat L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Heat, but the Pelicans have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pelicans 115 – 119 Heat, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Heat and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-5.4 vs +1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Heat's offense (117.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Heat's defense allows clearly fewer points (116.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIANO
Top performers
Heat
Bam AdebayoC · #1327pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #25assistsBam AdebayoC · #1314reboundsPelicans
Zion WilliamsonF · #125pts / game
Jeremiah FearsG · #08assistsJeremiah FearsG · #010reboundsRecent form
MIANO
NO
Team comparison
| MIA | NO | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-27 | Record | 15-40 |
| 117.9 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 120.2 |
| +1.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -5.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 12-16 road | Home / road record | 9-19 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 21-61 (-9.4) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Pelicans
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.