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Cavaliers vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Monday, February 9

FinalBall Arena · FanDuel SN OH, NBA League Pass, Altitude Sports
45% win CLEwin DEN 55%
FavoriteDEN
Projected margin1.7
Projected total236
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Denver Nuggets (34-19) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (32-21) on Monday, February 9 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 119 – Nuggets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nuggets are 14-10 at home and the Cavaliers are 15-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Nuggets and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Cavaliers W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 117 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 236 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Cavaliers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nuggets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DEN +3.4 / CLE +4.1 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageNuggets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nuggets
+1.7

Scenarios

Nuggets win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEDEN
120.1
Points scored / game
120.5
115.3
Points allowed / game
116.4
46.8 %
Field goal %
45.8 %
36.7 %
3-point %
32.8 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
34.3
79.3 %
Free throw %
79.6 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
44.5
26.3
Assists / game
26.0
8.8
Steals / game
10.0
7.5
Blocks / game
4.8
17.3
Turnovers / game
15.3

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4532pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #4510assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3113rebounds
Nuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1522pts / game
Nikola JokicC · #1511assists
Nikola JokicC · #1514rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
DEN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CLE lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CLEDEN
32-21Record34-19
120.1Points scored / game120.5
115.3Points allowed / game116.4
+4.1Adjusted margin / game+3.4
W3Current streakW1
8-2Last 10 games5-5
15-10 roadHome / road record14-10 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season50-32 (+3.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Denver Nuggets Injury report Nuggets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.