Hawks vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Monday, February 9
At a glance
The Minnesota Timberwolves (32-22) host the Atlanta Hawks (26-28) on Monday, February 9 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 116 – Timberwolves 138. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 17-10 at home and the Hawks are 16-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Timberwolves and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Timberwolves L2, Hawks L1).
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Timberwolves 119 – 114 Hawks, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Timberwolves played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+3.7 vs -0.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLMIN
Top performers
Hawks
CJ McCollumG · #338pts / game
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #75assistsNickeil Alexander-WalkerG · #712reboundsTimberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #530pts / game
Julius RandleF · #3010assistsJulius RandleF · #3012reboundsRecent form
ATLMIN
MIN
Team comparison
| ATL | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-28 | Record | 32-22 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 118.2 |
| 118.6 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| -0.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.7 |
| L1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 16-13 road | Home / road record | 17-10 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 49-33 (+5.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Timberwolves
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.