Timberwolves vs Hawks prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31
At a glance
The Atlanta Hawks (15-19) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-12) on Wednesday, December 31 at 3:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 102 – Hawks 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Hawks are 5-11 at home and the Timberwolves are 9-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Hawks L7, Timberwolves W1).
The analysis Model
The Timberwolves are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 116 – 119 Timberwolves, a margin of about 3.2 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-1.2 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hawks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Timberwolves' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MINATL
Top performers
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #530pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #07assists
Rudy GobertC · #2711reboundsHawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #134pts / game
Dyson DanielsG · #59assistsJalen JohnsonF · #110reboundsRecent form
MINATL
MIN
Team comparison
| MIN | ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-12 | Record | 15-19 |
| 117.9 | Points scored / game | 118.8 |
| 112.9 | Points allowed / game | 120.3 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.2 |
| W1 | Current streak | L7 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 9-6 road | Home / road record | 5-11 home |
| 49-33 (+5.0) | Last season | 40-42 (-1.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Timberwolves
Injury report Hawks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.