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Jazz vs Magic prediction NBA · Saturday, February 7

FinalKia Center · NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, FanDuel SN FL
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
16-37 · away
Final score
117-120
Projected: 113-122
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
27-24 · home
23% win UTAHwin ORL 77%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin9.3
Projected total235
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (26-24) host the Utah Jazz (16-36) on Saturday, February 7 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 117 – Magic 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Magic are 16-9 at home and the Jazz are 6-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Magic and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Magic W1, Jazz L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Magic dominate this matchup. The model projects Magic 122 – 113 Jazz, a margin of about 9.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.3 vs -7.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (117.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (113.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL -0.3 / UTAH -7.4 per game
+7.0
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Magic
+9.3

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Jazz win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHORL
117.1
Points scored / game
113.2
125.7
Points allowed / game
113.6
45.4 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
33.9 %
3-point %
31.4 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
76.6 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
41.3
26.8
Assists / game
26.0
5.0
Steals / game
7.8
6.4
Blocks / game
4.5
17.0
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #810assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3014rebounds
Magic
Paolo BancheroF · #523pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #58assists
Moritz WagnerC · #138rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHORL
16-36Record26-24
117.1Points scored / game113.2
125.7Points allowed / game113.6
-7.4Adjusted margin / game-0.3
L1Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games4-6
6-19 roadHome / road record16-9 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.