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Magic vs Jazz prediction NBA · Saturday, December 20

FinalDelta Center · FanDuel SN FL, NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
16-12 · away
Final score
128-127
Projected: 120-114
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
10-17 · home
69% win ORLwin UTAH 31%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin6.3
Projected total234
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Utah Jazz (10-16) host the Orlando Magic (15-12) on Saturday, December 20 at 9:30 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 128 – Jazz 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 7-8 at home and the Magic are 5-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Jazz and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Jazz L1, Magic L2).

The analysis Model

The Magic are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 114 – 120 Magic, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.7 vs +1.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (117.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Jazz
Team strength (adjusted point differential)UTAH -6.7 / ORL +1.9 per game
-8.6
Home-court advantageJazz at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Jazz
-6.3

Scenarios

Jazz win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Magic win by 10+
38%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLUTAH
114.0
Points scored / game
117.2
111.8
Points allowed / game
125.0
44.2 %
Field goal %
45.4 %
31.4 %
3-point %
33.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
34.8
75.0 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
26.0
Assists / game
26.8
7.8
Steals / game
5.0
4.5
Blocks / game
6.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
17.0

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #332pts / game
Paolo BancheroF · #59assists
Noah PendaF · #9312rebounds
Jazz
Keyonte GeorgeG · #327pts / game
Keyonte GeorgeG · #39assists
Kevin LoveF · #4216rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
UTAH
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ORL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ORLUTAH
15-12Record10-16
114.0Points scored / game117.2
111.8Points allowed / game125.0
+1.9Adjusted margin / game-6.7
L2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
5-7 roadHome / road record7-8 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season17-65 (-9.3)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.