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Jazz vs Hawks prediction NBA · Thursday, February 5

FinalState Farm Arena · NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, FanDuel SN SE

Utah Jazz

16-36 · away

Final score

119-121

Projected: 115-124

Atlanta Hawks

26-27 · home

24% win UTAHwin ATL 76%

FavoriteATL

Projected margin9.0

Projected total239

ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (25-27) host the Utah Jazz (16-35) on Thursday, February 5 at 7:30 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 119 – Hawks 121. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 76% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 9-14 at home and the Jazz are 6-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 2-8 for the Jazz (current streaks: Hawks W1, Jazz W1).

The analysis Model

The Hawks start with a clear edge. The model projects Hawks 124 – 115 Jazz, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 239 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

The overall strength gap (-0.8 vs -7.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (118.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks

Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.8 / UTAH -7.4 per game

+6.7

Home-court advantageHawks at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Hawks

+9.0

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+

47%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

24%

Jazz win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHATL

117.1

Points scored / game

117.6

125.8

Points allowed / game

118.5

45.4 %

Field goal %

46.9 %

33.9 %

3-point %

34.8 %

34.8

3-pointers attempted / game

41.4

76.6 %

Free throw %

72.8 %

46.8

Rebounds / game

41.4

26.8

Assists / game

32.2

5.0

Steals / game

10.2

6.4

Blocks / game

3.6

17.0

Turnovers / game

14.0

Top performers

Jazz

Isaiah CollierG · #825pts / game

Isaiah CollierG · #811assists

Kyle FilipowskiF · #217rebounds

Hawks

Jock LandaleC · #3126pts / game

Jalen JohnsonF · #115assists

Jalen JohnsonF · #116rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

UTAH

No games played yet.

ATL

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ATL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAH		ATL
16-35	Record	25-27
117.1	Points scored / game	117.6
125.8	Points allowed / game	118.5
-7.4	Adjusted margin / game	-0.8
W1	Current streak	W1
2-8	Last 10 games	5-5
6-18 road	Home / road record	9-14 home
17-65 (-9.3)	Last season	40-42 (-1.1)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.