Hawks vs Jazz prediction NBA · Thursday, November 13
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (4-7) host the Atlanta Hawks (7-5) on Thursday, November 13 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 132 – Jazz 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Jazz are 3-2 at home and the Hawks are 5-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Jazz W1, Hawks W3).
The analysis Model
The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 115 – 118 Hawks, a margin of about 3.1 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Hawks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +0.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hawks' offense (117.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Hawks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
ATLUTAH
Top performers
Hawks
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1732pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #114assistsJalen JohnsonF · #118reboundsJazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2340pts / game
Jusuf NurkicC · #308assistsJusuf NurkicC · #3010reboundsRecent form
ATLUTAH
ATL
Team comparison
| ATL | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-5 | Record | 4-7 |
| 117.0 | Points scored / game | 113.8 |
| 116.0 | Points allowed / game | 121.0 |
| +0.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 5-2 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 40-42 (-1.1) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Hawks
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.