Pelicans vs Bucks prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (19-29) host the New Orleans Pelicans (13-39) on Wednesday, February 4 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 137 – Bucks 141. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 10-12 at home and the Pelicans are 5-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 4-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Bucks W1, Pelicans L2).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 117 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 4.4 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' defense allows clearly fewer points (115.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOMIL
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2544pts / game
Zion WilliamsonF · #18assists
Yves MissiC · #217reboundsBucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1327pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #79assists
Myles TurnerC · #39reboundsRecent form
NOMIL
NO
Team comparison
| NO | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-39 | Record | 19-29 |
| 113.2 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 120.3 | Points allowed / game | 115.1 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.4 |
| L2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 5-20 road | Home / road record | 10-12 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.