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Celtics vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 4

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO, Space City Home Network
42% win BOSwin HOU 58%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin2.4
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (31-17) host the Boston Celtics (32-18) on Wednesday, February 4 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 114 – Rockets 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 17-4 at home and the Celtics are 16-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Rockets W3, Celtics W3).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Rockets 113 – 111 Celtics, a margin of about 2.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +4.8 / BOS +6.3 per game
-1.5
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCeltics played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Rockets
+2.4

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSHOU
116.0
Points scored / game
115.7
108.6
Points allowed / game
110.0
46.5 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
38.6 %
3-point %
40.4 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
76.0 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.8
Assists / game
28.2
9.0
Steals / game
10.2
3.8
Blocks / game
6.0
15.5
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Celtics
Derrick WhiteG · #928pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8819rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #715pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #14assists
Alperen SengunC · #289rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

BOSHOU
32-18Record31-17
116.0Points scored / game115.7
108.6Points allowed / game110.0
+6.3Adjusted margin / game+4.8
W3Current streakW3
7-3Last 10 games8-2
16-10 roadHome / road record17-4 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.