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Rockets vs Celtics prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1

FinalTD Garden · Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports BO
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
3-2 · away
Final score
128-101
Projected: 111-113
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
3-4 · home
42% win HOUwin BOS 58%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin2.5
Projected total224
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (3-3) host the Houston Rockets (2-2) on Saturday, November 1 at 8:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 128 – Celtics 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 58% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 1-1 at home and the Rockets are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for the Celtics and 2-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Celtics W3, Rockets W2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Celtics 113 – 111 Rockets, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Rockets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +6.9 / HOU +5.1 per game
+1.8
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Back-to-backCeltics played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Celtics
+2.5

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Rockets win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

HOUBOS
117.7
Points scored / game
115.3
111.7
Points allowed / game
107.2
51.7 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
40.4 %
3-point %
38.6 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
84.7 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
28.2
Assists / game
27.8
10.2
Steals / game
9.0
6.0
Blocks / game
3.8
15.8
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #726pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #289assists
Alperen SengunC · #2810rebounds
Celtics
Baylor ScheiermanG · #5517pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #75assists
Josh MinottF · #006rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

HOUBOS
2-2Record3-3
117.7Points scored / game115.3
111.7Points allowed / game107.2
+5.1Adjusted margin / game+6.9
W2Current streakW3
2-2Last 10 games3-3
1-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.