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76ers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3

FinalChase Center · NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil +, NBC Sports BA
30% win PHIwin GS 70%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin6.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Golden State Warriors (27-23) host the Philadelphia 76ers (28-21) on Tuesday, February 3 at 10:00 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 113 – Warriors 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 70% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Warriors are 17-8 at home and the 76ers are 13-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Warriors and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Warriors L1, 76ers W4).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Warriors, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Warriors 118 – 111 76ers, a margin of about 6.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Warriors
Team strength (adjusted point differential)GS +2.4 / PHI -0.2 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageWarriors at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Warriors
+6.5

Scenarios

Warriors win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
27%
76ers win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIGS
115.5
Points scored / game
116.1
115.7
Points allowed / game
113.3
42.8 %
Field goal %
45.0 %
32.6 %
3-point %
36.9 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
77.5 %
Free throw %
82.2 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
43.8
24.6
Assists / game
25.6
9.8
Steals / game
9.6
5.6
Blocks / game
3.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

76ers
VJ EdgecombeG · #7725pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #777assists
Andre DrummondC · #012rebounds
Warriors
Pat SpencerG · #6113pts / game
De'Anthony MeltonG · #86assists
Draymond GreenF · #237rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
GS
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHIGS
28-21Record27-23
115.5Points scored / game116.1
115.7Points allowed / game113.3
-0.2Adjusted margin / game+2.4
W4Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games6-4
13-8 roadHome / road record17-8 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season48-34 (+3.3)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.