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Warriors vs 76ers prediction NBA · Thursday, December 4

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC Sports BA, NBC Sports Phil, NBA TV
52% win GSwin PHI 48%
FavoriteGS
Projected margin0.7
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (11-9) host the Golden State Warriors (11-11) on Thursday, December 4 at 7:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 98 – 76ers 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the 76ers are 6-6 at home and the Warriors are 4-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 5-5 for the Warriors (current streaks: 76ers W1, Warriors L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects 76ers 114 – 115 Warriors, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.8 / GS +1.2 per game
-3.0
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
-0.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Warriors win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

GSPHI
114.2
Points scored / game
115.0
112.8
Points allowed / game
117.2
45.0 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
36.9 %
3-point %
32.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
82.2 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
43.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
25.6
Assists / game
24.6
9.6
Steals / game
9.8
3.8
Blocks / game
5.6
16.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Warriors
Pat SpencerG · #6116pts / game
Pat SpencerG · #614assists
Buddy HieldG · #78rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #035pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #56assists
Dominick BarlowF · #2514rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
GS
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHI lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

GSPHI
11-11Record11-9
114.2Points scored / game115.0
112.8Points allowed / game117.2
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-1.8
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
4-8 roadHome / road record6-6 home
48-34 (+3.3)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Golden State Warriors Injury report Warriors

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.