Celtics vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (19-30) host the Boston Celtics (31-18) on Tuesday, February 3 at 8:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 110 – Mavericks 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 14-14 at home and the Celtics are 15-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Mavericks and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Mavericks L4, Celtics W2).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Mavericks 111 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.9 vs +6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.7 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSDAL
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #98assistsJaylen BrownG · #711reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3236pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #326assists
Daniel GaffordF · #2112reboundsRecent form
BOSDAL
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-18 | Record | 19-30 |
| 116.1 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 108.7 | Points allowed / game | 116.4 |
| +6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L4 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 15-10 road | Home / road record | 14-14 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.