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Jazz vs Pacers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · NBA League Pass, KJZZ-TV, Jazz+, FanDuel SN IN
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz
16-35 · away
Final score
131-122
Projected: 116-119
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
13-38 · home
39% win UTAHwin IND 61%
FavoriteIND
Projected margin3.5
Projected total235
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (13-37) host the Utah Jazz (15-35) on Tuesday, February 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Jazz 131 – Pacers 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 10-17 at home and the Jazz are 5-18 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 1-9 for the Jazz (current streaks: Pacers L1, Jazz L6).

The analysis Model

The Pacers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pacers 119 – 116 Jazz, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Jazz's offense (116.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (117.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -4.9 / UTAH -7.7 per game
+2.8
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backPacers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Pacers
+3.5

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Jazz win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

UTAHIND
116.8
Points scored / game
112.0
125.9
Points allowed / game
117.8
45.4 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
33.9 %
3-point %
31.2 %
34.8
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
76.6 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.0
26.8
Assists / game
29.4
5.0
Steals / game
6.4
6.4
Blocks / game
4.8
17.0
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Jazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2327pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #822assists
Kyle FilipowskiF · #216rebounds
Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #524pts / game
Kam JonesG · #198assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
UTAH
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

UTAH lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

UTAHIND
15-35Record13-37
116.8Points scored / game112.0
125.9Points allowed / game117.8
-7.7Adjusted margin / game-4.9
L6Current streakL1
1-9Last 10 games4-6
5-18 roadHome / road record10-17 home
17-65 (-9.3)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Utah Jazz Injury report Jazz

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.