Pacers vs Jazz prediction NBA · Tuesday, November 11
At a glance
The Utah Jazz (3-7) host the Indiana Pacers (1-9) on Tuesday, November 11 at 9:00 PM ET at Delta Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 128 – Jazz 152. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pacers a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Jazz are 2-2 at home and the Pacers are 0-5 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Jazz and 1-9 for the Pacers (current streaks: Jazz L3, Pacers L4).
The analysis Model
The Pacers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Jazz 113 – 117 Pacers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Pacers and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Jazz played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-7.4 vs -3.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Jazz need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Pacers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDUTAH
Top performers
Pacers
Pascal SiakamF · #4327pts / game
Andrew NembhardG · #27assists
Isaiah JacksonF · #2310reboundsJazz
Lauri MarkkanenF · #2335pts / game
Isaiah CollierG · #811assists
Jusuf NurkicC · #3011reboundsRecent form
INDUTAH
IND
Team comparison
| IND | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | Record | 3-7 |
| 112.9 | Points scored / game | 112.0 |
| 116.8 | Points allowed / game | 120.7 |
| -3.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.4 |
| L4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 0-5 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 17-65 (-9.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Jazz
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.