Nuggets vs Pistons prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3
At a glance
The Detroit Pistons (36-12) host the Denver Nuggets (33-17) on Tuesday, February 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nuggets 121 – Pistons 124. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 20-5 at home and the Nuggets are 19-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Pistons and 6-4 for the Nuggets (current streaks: Pistons W2, Nuggets L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Pistons, but the Nuggets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pistons 118 – 114 Nuggets, a margin of about 4.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The Nuggets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (120.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Pistons' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DENDET
Top performers
Nuggets
Jamal MurrayG · #2732pts / gameJamal MurrayG · #278assists
Nikola JokicC · #1515reboundsPistons
Cade CunninghamG · #229pts / gameCade CunninghamG · #210assists
Jalen DurenC · #013reboundsRecent form
DENDET
DET
Team comparison
| DEN | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-17 | Record | 36-12 |
| 120.1 | Points scored / game | 117.0 |
| 115.9 | Points allowed / game | 110.5 |
| +3.5 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 19-7 road | Home / road record | 20-5 home |
| 50-32 (+3.9) | Last season | 44-38 (+1.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nuggets
Injury report Pistons
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.