Pelicans vs Hornets prediction NBA · Monday, February 2
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets (22-28) host the New Orleans Pelicans (13-38) on Monday, February 2 at 3:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Pelicans 95 – Hornets 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hornets a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 10-13 at home and the Pelicans are 5-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Hornets and 4-6 for the Pelicans (current streaks: Hornets W6, Pelicans L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Hornets dominate this matchup. The model projects Hornets 120 – 112 Pelicans, a margin of about 8.0 points in favor of the Hornets and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-0.4 vs -6.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pelicans need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Hornets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NOCHA
Top performers
Pelicans
Trey Murphy IIIF · #2527pts / game
Saddiq BeyG · #415assists
Zion WilliamsonF · #111reboundsHornets
LaMelo BallG · #124pts / gameLaMelo BallG · #15assists
Kon KnueppelG · #79reboundsRecent form
NOCHA
CHA
Team comparison
| NO | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-38 | Record | 22-28 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 114.1 |
| 120.6 | Points allowed / game | 114.5 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -0.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | W6 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 8-2 |
| 5-19 road | Home / road record | 10-13 home |
| 21-61 (-9.4) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pelicans
Injury report Hornets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.