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Cavaliers vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalModa Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN OH, KUNP 16, BlazerVision
61% win CLEwin POR 39%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin3.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (23-26) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (29-21) on Sunday, February 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 130 – Trail Blazers 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 13-11 at home and the Cavaliers are 12-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 7-3 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Trail Blazers L4, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Cavaliers, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.2 vs +3.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.2 / CLE +3.5 per game
-5.7
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-3.4

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Cavaliers win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

CLEPOR
119.7
Points scored / game
114.3
115.6
Points allowed / game
116.9
46.8 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
36.7 %
3-point %
38.9 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
79.3 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
46.3
26.3
Assists / game
30.7
8.8
Steals / game
8.3
7.5
Blocks / game
2.7
17.3
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Cavaliers
Jarrett AllenC · #3140pts / game
Craig Porter Jr.G · #912assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3117rebounds
Trail Blazers
Caleb LoveG · #821pts / game
Donovan ClinganC · #235assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3512rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CLEPOR
29-21Record23-26
119.7Points scored / game114.3
115.6Points allowed / game116.9
+3.5Adjusted margin / game-2.2
L1Current streakL4
7-3Last 10 games4-6
12-10 roadHome / road record13-11 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.