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Trail Blazers vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
9-13 · away
Final score
122-110
Projected: 111-122
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
13-10 · home
18% win PORwin CLE 82%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin11.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (13-9) host the Portland Trail Blazers (8-13) on Wednesday, December 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 122 – Cavaliers 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 8-4 at home and the Trail Blazers are 5-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 2-8 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Trail Blazers L3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 122 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 11.3 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Trail Blazers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -2.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Cavaliers' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.9 / POR -2.5 per game
+7.4
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Back-to-backTrail Blazers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+11.3

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
54%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

PORCLE
115.6
Points scored / game
120.4
118.5
Points allowed / game
114.6
51.1 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
38.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
70.8 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
47.0
30.7
Assists / game
26.3
8.3
Steals / game
8.8
2.7
Blocks / game
7.5
13.3
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #827pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #87assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2313rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4533pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #455assists
Evan MobleyC · #410rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Dec 3POR122 - 110CLEFeb 1CLE130 - 111POR

Team comparison

PORCLE
8-13Record13-9
115.6Points scored / game120.4
118.5Points allowed / game114.6
-2.5Adjusted margin / game+4.9
L3Current streakW1
2-8Last 10 games5-5
5-7 roadHome / road record8-4 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.