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Kings vs Wizards prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalCapital One Arena · NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA, MNMT

Sacramento Kings

12-39 · away

Final score

112-116

Projected: 116-117

Washington Wizards

13-35 · home

50% win SACwin WSH 50%

FavoriteWSH

Projected margin0.0

Projected total232

ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Washington Wizards (12-35) host the Sacramento Kings (12-38) on Sunday, February 1 at 6:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 112 – Wizards 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Wizards a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 8-16 at home and the Kings are 3-22 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Wizards and 2-8 for the Kings (current streaks: Wizards L1, Kings L8).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Wizards 117 – 116 Kings, a margin of about 0.0 points in favor of the Wizards and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Wizards

Team strength (adjusted point differential)WSH -9.3 / SAC -7.0 per game

-2.3

Home-court advantageWizards at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Wizards

+0.0

Scenarios

Wizards win by 10+

21%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

31%

Kings win by 10+

21%

Stat comparison Current season

SACWSH

111.2

Points scored / game

111.4

119.5

Points allowed / game

122.3

44.5 %

Field goal %

48.0 %

30.0 %

3-point %

28.5 %

32.5

3-pointers attempted / game

31.6

73.1 %

Free throw %

83.1 %

41.5

Rebounds / game

40.0

22.8

Assists / game

25.8

6.8

Steals / game

7.4

2.5

Blocks / game

5.6

14.3

Turnovers / game

13.6

Top performers

Kings

Zach LaVineG · #835pts / game

DeMar DeRozanG · #105assists

Zach LaVineG · #86rebounds

Wizards

Will RileyG · #2718pts / game

Will RileyG · #276assists

Skal LabissiereC · #177rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

SAC

No games played yet.

WSH

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SAC		WSH
12-38	Record	12-35
111.2	Points scored / game	111.4
119.5	Points allowed / game	122.3
-7.0	Adjusted margin / game	-9.3
L8	Current streak	L1
2-8	Last 10 games	2-8
3-22 road	Home / road record	8-16 home
40-42 (+0.5)	Last season	18-64 (-12.4)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.