Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Wizards vs Kings prediction NBA · Friday, January 16

FinalGolden 1 Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
34% win WSHwin SAC 66%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin5.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (11-30) host the Washington Wizards (10-29) on Friday, January 16 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 115 – Kings 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 8-13 at home and the Wizards are 4-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 4-6 for the Wizards (current streaks: Kings W3, Wizards L4).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Kings, but the Wizards have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 119 – 114 Wizards, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Kings' defense allows clearly fewer points (119.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -6.8 / WSH -9.8 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+5.3

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Wizards win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

WSHSAC
111.5
Points scored / game
111.4
123.1
Points allowed / game
119.5
48.0 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
28.5 %
3-point %
30.0 %
31.6
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
83.1 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
40.0
Rebounds / game
41.5
25.8
Assists / game
22.8
7.4
Steals / game
6.8
5.6
Blocks / game
2.5
13.6
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Wizards
Alex SarrC · #2019pts / game
Bub CarringtonG · #79assists
Kyshawn GeorgeF · #188rebounds
Kings
Russell WestbrookG · #1826pts / game
Russell WestbrookG · #186assists
Dylan CardwellC · #329rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
WSH
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

WSHSAC
10-29Record11-30
111.5Points scored / game111.4
123.1Points allowed / game119.5
-9.8Adjusted margin / game-6.8
L4Current streakW3
4-6Last 10 games3-7
4-16 roadHome / road record8-13 home
18-64 (-12.4)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Washington Wizards Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.