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Magic vs Spurs prediction NBA · Sunday, February 1

FinalFrost Bank Center · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN SW
39% win ORLwin SA 61%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin3.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (32-17) host the Orlando Magic (25-22) on Sunday, February 1 at 9:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Magic 103 – Spurs 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Spurs are 16-6 at home and the Magic are 10-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Spurs and 5-5 for the Magic (current streaks: Spurs L1, Magic W2).

The analysis Model

The Spurs are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Spurs 115 – 112 Magic, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Magic need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +2.7 / ORL -0.0 per game
+2.7
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSpurs played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Spurs
+3.4

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Magic win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

ORLSA
113.6
Points scored / game
116.3
113.6
Points allowed / game
113.2
44.2 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
31.4 %
3-point %
34.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
75.0 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
41.3
Rebounds / game
45.0
26.0
Assists / game
28.2
7.8
Steals / game
9.8
4.5
Blocks / game
6.6
17.8
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Magic
Desmond BaneG · #325pts / game
Jalen SuggsG · #46assists
Paolo BancheroF · #510rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #410assists
Keldon JohnsonF · #310rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ORL
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ORLSA
25-22Record32-17
113.6Points scored / game116.3
113.6Points allowed / game113.2
-0.0Adjusted margin / game+2.7
W2Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games5-5
10-13 roadHome / road record16-6 home
41-41 (-0.1)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.