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Spurs vs Magic prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 3

FinalKia Center · FanDuel SN FL, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
15-6 · away
Final score
114-112
Projected: 111-116
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
13-9 · home
35% win SAwin ORL 65%
FavoriteORL
Projected margin4.7
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Orlando Magic (13-8) host the San Antonio Spurs (14-6) on Wednesday, December 3 at 7:00 PM ET at Kia Center in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 114 – Magic 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Magic a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Magic are 8-3 at home and the Spurs are 5-4 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Magic and 6-4 for the Spurs (current streaks: Magic W3, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Magic, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Magic 116 – 111 Spurs, a margin of about 4.7 points in favor of the Magic and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Spurs played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Magic's defense allows clearly fewer points (111.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Magic
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ORL +2.8 / SA +2.0 per game
+0.8
Home-court advantageMagic at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSpurs played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Magic
+4.7

Scenarios

Magic win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Spurs win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

SAORL
117.2
Points scored / game
114.4
114.9
Points allowed / game
111.1
46.0 %
Field goal %
44.2 %
34.6 %
3-point %
31.4 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.3 %
Free throw %
75.0 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
41.3
28.2
Assists / game
26.0
9.8
Steals / game
7.8
6.6
Blocks / game
4.5
12.8
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Spurs
De'Aaron FoxG · #431pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #45assists
Luke KornetC · #77rebounds
Magic
Franz WagnerF · #2225pts / game
Franz WagnerF · #226assists
Wendell Carter Jr.C · #349rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
ORL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

SA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

SAORL
14-6Record13-8
117.2Points scored / game114.4
114.9Points allowed / game111.1
+2.0Adjusted margin / game+2.8
W1Current streakW3
6-4Last 10 games8-2
5-4 roadHome / road record8-3 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season41-41 (-0.1)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Orlando Magic Injury report Magic

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.