Cavaliers vs Suns prediction NBA · Friday, January 30
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns (29-19) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (29-20) on Friday, January 30 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 113 – Suns 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 16-6 at home and the Cavaliers are 12-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 8-2 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Suns W2, Cavaliers W5).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Suns 114 – 115 Cavaliers, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Cavaliers' offense (119.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
CLEPHX
Top performers
Cavaliers
De'Andre HunterF · #1517pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Jarrett AllenC · #317reboundsSuns
Dillon BrooksF · #327pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #125assists
Mark WilliamsC · #257reboundsRecent form
CLEPHX
PHX
Team comparison
| CLE | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-20 | Record | 29-19 |
| 119.8 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 115.4 | Points allowed / game | 112.3 |
| +3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.4 |
| W5 | Current streak | W2 |
| 8-2 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 12-9 road | Home / road record | 16-6 home |
| 64-18 (+9.5) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Cavaliers
Injury report Suns
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.