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Suns vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA TV
34% win PHXwin CLE 66%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin5.3
Projected total232
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (18-16) host the Phoenix Suns (19-13) on Wednesday, December 31 at 3:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Suns 113 – Cavaliers 129. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 11-8 at home and the Suns are 9-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Cavaliers and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Suns W4).

The analysis Model

The Cavaliers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Cavaliers 119 – 114 Suns, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Suns need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.4 / PHX +0.4 per game
+3.0
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+5.3

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Suns win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXCLE
114.7
Points scored / game
120.0
114.2
Points allowed / game
116.0
45.6 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
31.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
73.9 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
47.0
25.3
Assists / game
26.3
8.7
Steals / game
8.8
5.3
Blocks / game
7.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Suns
Devin BookerG · #1532pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #125assists
Jordan GoodwinG · #2315rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4534pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #457assists
Jarrett AllenC · #3111rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

PHXCLE
19-13Record18-16
114.7Points scored / game120.0
114.2Points allowed / game116.0
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+3.4
W4Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games4-6
9-8 roadHome / road record11-8 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.