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Trail Blazers vs Knicks prediction NBA · Friday, January 30

FinalMadison Square Garden · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, MSG, DAZN (MSG)
26% win PORwin NY 74%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin8.2
Projected total231
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The New York Knicks (30-18) host the Portland Trail Blazers (23-25) on Friday, January 30 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 97 – Knicks 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 74% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 19-6 at home and the Trail Blazers are 10-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Knicks W4, Trail Blazers L3).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Knicks dominate this matchup. The model projects Knicks 119 – 111 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 8.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.1 vs -1.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.5 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.1 / POR -1.8 per game
+5.9
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+8.2

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
44%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
25%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison Current season

PORNY
114.6
Points scored / game
117.3
116.7
Points allowed / game
112.5
51.1 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
38.9 %
3-point %
35.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
70.8 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
48.2
30.7
Assists / game
26.8
8.3
Steals / game
7.2
2.7
Blocks / game
4.4
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Shaedon SharpeG · #1726pts / game
Caleb LoveG · #84assists
Robert Williams IIIC · #3511rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1126pts / game
Josh HartG · #35assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3220rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PORNY
23-25Record30-18
114.6Points scored / game117.3
116.7Points allowed / game112.5
-1.8Adjusted margin / game+4.1
L3Current streakW4
5-5Last 10 games5-5
10-14 roadHome / road record19-6 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.