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Knicks vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11

FinalModa Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
61% win NYwin POR 39%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin3.7
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (19-20) host the New York Knicks (25-14) on Sunday, January 11 at 6:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 123 – Trail Blazers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 10-9 at home and the Knicks are 8-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Knicks (current streaks: Trail Blazers W5, Knicks L1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.1 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Knicks' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.1 / NY +3.8 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-3.7

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Knicks win by 10+
31%

Stat comparison Current season

NYPOR
118.6
Points scored / game
115.1
114.1
Points allowed / game
117.6
42.2 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
35.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
75.8 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
46.3
26.8
Assists / game
30.7
7.2
Steals / game
8.3
4.4
Blocks / game
2.7
14.8
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1126pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #84assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

NY lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

NYPOR
25-14Record19-20
118.6Points scored / game115.1
114.1Points allowed / game117.6
+3.8Adjusted margin / game-2.1
L1Current streakW5
4-6Last 10 games7-3
8-10 roadHome / road record10-9 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.