Knicks vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Sunday, January 11
At a glance
The Portland Trail Blazers (19-20) host the New York Knicks (25-14) on Sunday, January 11 at 6:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 123 – Trail Blazers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 10-9 at home and the Knicks are 8-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Trail Blazers and 4-6 for the Knicks (current streaks: Trail Blazers W5, Knicks L1).
The analysis Model
The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Trail Blazers 115 – 118 Knicks, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.1 vs +3.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Knicks' offense (118.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Knicks' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
NYPOR
Top performers
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1126pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds
Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #825pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #84assists
Donovan ClinganC · #238reboundsRecent form
NY
PORTeam comparison
| NY | POR | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-14 | Record | 19-20 |
| 118.6 | Points scored / game | 115.1 |
| 114.1 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| +3.8 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 7-3 |
| 8-10 road | Home / road record | 10-9 home |
| 51-31 (+4.1) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Knicks
Injury report Trail Blazers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.
NY