Kings vs Celtics prediction NBA · Friday, January 30
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (29-18) host the Sacramento Kings (12-37) on Friday, January 30 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Kings 93 – Celtics 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 91% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 14-8 at home and the Kings are 3-21 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Celtics and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Celtics L1, Kings L7).
The analysis Model
The Celtics start with a clear edge. The model projects Celtics 122 – 105 Kings, a margin of about 16.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+5.8 vs -6.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACBOS
Top performers
Kings
Zach LaVineG · #817pts / game
Malik MonkG · #04assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #4214reboundsCeltics
Payton PritchardG · #1129pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #99assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8815reboundsRecent form
SACBOS
BOS
Team comparison
| SAC | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-37 | Record | 29-18 |
| 111.5 | Points scored / game | 116.4 |
| 119.6 | Points allowed / game | 109.5 |
| -6.8 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.8 |
| L7 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 3-21 road | Home / road record | 14-8 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.