Celtics vs Kings prediction NBA · Thursday, January 1
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (8-25) host the Boston Celtics (20-12) on Thursday, January 1 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 120 – Kings 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 5-10 at home and the Celtics are 10-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Kings and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Kings L2, Celtics W1).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Kings 110 – 120 Celtics, a margin of about 10.6 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.9 vs +5.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' offense (116.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSSAC
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #729pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #97assistsJaylen BrownG · #710reboundsKings
DeMar DeRozanG · #1025pts / game
Dennis SchroderG · #177assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #428reboundsRecent form
BOSSAC
BOS
Team comparison
| BOS | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-12 | Record | 8-25 |
| 116.7 | Points scored / game | 112.3 |
| 109.8 | Points allowed / game | 120.4 |
| +5.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.9 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 10-7 road | Home / road record | 5-10 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.